Comments on: The costs of lobbying http://sepiamutiny.com/blog/2007/09/11/the_costs_of_lo_1/ All that flavorful brownness in one savory packet Sat, 30 Nov 2013 11:11:28 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.2.1 By: Brij http://sepiamutiny.com/blog/2007/09/11/the_costs_of_lo_1/comment-page-2/#comment-179332 Brij Sun, 25 Nov 2007 06:20:33 +0000 http://sepiamutiny.com?p=4716#comment-179332 <p><a href="http://www.bbc.co.uk/worldservice/programmes/the_interview.shtml">Interview</a> by the John Mearsheimer and Stephen Walt on their book and the backlash that it has received</p> Interview by the John Mearsheimer and Stephen Walt on their book and the backlash that it has received

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By: KXB http://sepiamutiny.com/blog/2007/09/11/the_costs_of_lo_1/comment-page-2/#comment-168060 KXB Mon, 24 Sep 2007 22:44:46 +0000 http://sepiamutiny.com?p=4716#comment-168060 <p>Brij,</p> <p>Thanks for the link. Couple of things - Schultz is employing a tactic often used by Alan Dershowitz - you read the word "Israeli" and instead see the word "Jew". Schultz charges M&W with arging that the lobby has a "uniform agenda", when in fact M&W make no such claim. They point that Martin Indyk, formerly of the Clinton admin. and a member of the lobby, believes in a 2-state solution, as does Dennis Ross. However, he does not believe that American aid to Israel should be conditional. M&W argue It is this unconditional support that is more prominent among the lobbyists, than any specific policy.</p> <p>Second, he charges M&W for lending support to the Arabs simply because of numbers. Again, they make no such claim, but rather say that Arab concerns should play some interest - demographics do not play much of a role.</p> <p>As for Schultz's choice of venue - U.S. News and World Report is published by Mort Zuckerman, who is a high-profile member of <a href="http://www.conferenceofpresidents.org/content.asp?id=52">Conference of Presidents of Major American Jewish Organizations</a> - a very hard right group.</p> Brij,

Thanks for the link. Couple of things – Schultz is employing a tactic often used by Alan Dershowitz – you read the word “Israeli” and instead see the word “Jew”. Schultz charges M&W with arging that the lobby has a “uniform agenda”, when in fact M&W make no such claim. They point that Martin Indyk, formerly of the Clinton admin. and a member of the lobby, believes in a 2-state solution, as does Dennis Ross. However, he does not believe that American aid to Israel should be conditional. M&W argue It is this unconditional support that is more prominent among the lobbyists, than any specific policy.

Second, he charges M&W for lending support to the Arabs simply because of numbers. Again, they make no such claim, but rather say that Arab concerns should play some interest – demographics do not play much of a role.

As for Schultz’s choice of venue – U.S. News and World Report is published by Mort Zuckerman, who is a high-profile member of Conference of Presidents of Major American Jewish Organizations – a very hard right group.

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By: Brij http://sepiamutiny.com/blog/2007/09/11/the_costs_of_lo_1/comment-page-2/#comment-166869 Brij Wed, 19 Sep 2007 04:31:18 +0000 http://sepiamutiny.com?p=4716#comment-166869 <p>Oops the right link to the recent editorial in USNEws :<a href="http://www.usnews.com/articles/opinion/2007/09/07/the-israel-lobby-myth.html"> Israel lobby myth </a></p> Oops the right link to the recent editorial in USNEws : Israel lobby myth

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By: Brij http://sepiamutiny.com/blog/2007/09/11/the_costs_of_lo_1/comment-page-2/#comment-166868 Brij Wed, 19 Sep 2007 04:27:25 +0000 http://sepiamutiny.com?p=4716#comment-166868 <p>KXB, this is for you..others can ignore</p> <p>influenced by your interesting post, i went to the bookshop to pickup the book <b>Israel Lobby</b>. forgot the name and had to inquire and came across this recent book - <b><a href="http://www.palgrave-usa.com/catalog/product.aspx?isbn=1403984921">The deadlies lies:The Israel Lobby and the Myth of Jewish Control</a></b> - which claims to be a rebuttal to Walt & Meirsheimer's book. Then went to the newstand to pick up my weekly dose of USNews and came across this editorial: <a href="http://www.usnews.com/usnews/opinion/articles/060326/3edit.htm">The Israel lobby myth</a></p> KXB, this is for you..others can ignore

influenced by your interesting post, i went to the bookshop to pickup the book Israel Lobby. forgot the name and had to inquire and came across this recent book – The deadlies lies:The Israel Lobby and the Myth of Jewish Control – which claims to be a rebuttal to Walt & Meirsheimer’s book. Then went to the newstand to pick up my weekly dose of USNews and came across this editorial: The Israel lobby myth

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By: razib http://sepiamutiny.com/blog/2007/09/11/the_costs_of_lo_1/comment-page-2/#comment-165835 razib Thu, 13 Sep 2007 21:57:26 +0000 http://sepiamutiny.com?p=4716#comment-165835 <p><i>After reading some of the studies on that site, I don't think you are completely correct...at least one study was showing that mtDNA was more homogenous while Y haplotypes were less homogenous. What this shows is NOT that there is little outermarriage, but that 'Jewish' social identity is passed through the mother.</i></p> <p>1) that site is mine</p> <p>2) the studies are complicated, but if you want me to summarize it for you askhenazi jews seem to have had a few gentile founding mothers and near eastern fathers (according to the balance of the evidence). their admixture proportion is probably 50% western european and 50% near eastern. they expanded from a relatively small baseline population around 1400 and increased by orders by magnitude by 1800. so yes, they're one people that emerged from a hybridization.</p> <p>3) the examination of genetic markers implies 1% inmarriage per generation from outsiders if you assume 25 years and 1,000 years.</p> <p>4) <i>What I should have said, is that a Jew coming from Germany will be able to identify less with a Jew coming from Britain, since they were essentially members of non-interacting communities for hundreds of years</i></p> <p>again, you don't know the history. they aren't parts of non-interacting communities, the jews of europe were famously transnational and cosmopolitan. they moved around quite a bit and fissured mostly along sephardic and ashkenazi lines. when jews were allowed back into england after 1650 they were mostly sephardic, but by the 19th century ashkenazi jews from eastern overwhelmed the earlier community of sephardic jews. in places like france you have two different communities, sephardic and askhenazi together, both of these are generally exogenous in origin.</p> <p>5) again, you confuse the nationality issue. ashkenazi jews in places like hungary, poland and russia did not speak the local language, they spoke yiddish. if they were educated, secular and sophisticated quite often they spoke german and were part of the german-speaking culture of mittleeuropa.</p> After reading some of the studies on that site, I don’t think you are completely correct…at least one study was showing that mtDNA was more homogenous while Y haplotypes were less homogenous. What this shows is NOT that there is little outermarriage, but that ‘Jewish’ social identity is passed through the mother.

1) that site is mine

2) the studies are complicated, but if you want me to summarize it for you askhenazi jews seem to have had a few gentile founding mothers and near eastern fathers (according to the balance of the evidence). their admixture proportion is probably 50% western european and 50% near eastern. they expanded from a relatively small baseline population around 1400 and increased by orders by magnitude by 1800. so yes, they’re one people that emerged from a hybridization.

3) the examination of genetic markers implies 1% inmarriage per generation from outsiders if you assume 25 years and 1,000 years.

4) What I should have said, is that a Jew coming from Germany will be able to identify less with a Jew coming from Britain, since they were essentially members of non-interacting communities for hundreds of years

again, you don’t know the history. they aren’t parts of non-interacting communities, the jews of europe were famously transnational and cosmopolitan. they moved around quite a bit and fissured mostly along sephardic and ashkenazi lines. when jews were allowed back into england after 1650 they were mostly sephardic, but by the 19th century ashkenazi jews from eastern overwhelmed the earlier community of sephardic jews. in places like france you have two different communities, sephardic and askhenazi together, both of these are generally exogenous in origin.

5) again, you confuse the nationality issue. ashkenazi jews in places like hungary, poland and russia did not speak the local language, they spoke yiddish. if they were educated, secular and sophisticated quite often they spoke german and were part of the german-speaking culture of mittleeuropa.

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By: Roger Federer http://sepiamutiny.com/blog/2007/09/11/the_costs_of_lo_1/comment-page-2/#comment-165709 Roger Federer Thu, 13 Sep 2007 17:19:38 +0000 http://sepiamutiny.com?p=4716#comment-165709 <p>After reading some of the studies on that site, I don't think you are completely correct...at least one study was showing that mtDNA was more homogenous while Y haplotypes were less homogenous. What this shows is NOT that there is little outermarriage, but that 'Jewish' social identity is passed through the mother. The outermarriage estimate should be based solely on the Y-chromosome. However, I guess you may be right theoretically about the Jews being more ethnically identical. However when you meet someone, do you ask for their genotype? Culture similarity is far more important, at least currently, in human-human interaction. Indian Americans have all arrived here around the same time, have a more recent interaction with their home country, and have lived in one society for far longer. I think our cohesiveness on issues could arguably be greater than that of Jews. What I should have said, is that a Jew coming from Germany will be able to identify less with a Jew coming from Britain, since they were essentially members of non-interacting communities for hundreds of years.</p> After reading some of the studies on that site, I don’t think you are completely correct…at least one study was showing that mtDNA was more homogenous while Y haplotypes were less homogenous. What this shows is NOT that there is little outermarriage, but that ‘Jewish’ social identity is passed through the mother. The outermarriage estimate should be based solely on the Y-chromosome. However, I guess you may be right theoretically about the Jews being more ethnically identical. However when you meet someone, do you ask for their genotype? Culture similarity is far more important, at least currently, in human-human interaction. Indian Americans have all arrived here around the same time, have a more recent interaction with their home country, and have lived in one society for far longer. I think our cohesiveness on issues could arguably be greater than that of Jews. What I should have said, is that a Jew coming from Germany will be able to identify less with a Jew coming from Britain, since they were essentially members of non-interacting communities for hundreds of years.

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By: razib_the_atheist http://sepiamutiny.com/blog/2007/09/11/the_costs_of_lo_1/comment-page-2/#comment-165535 razib_the_atheist Thu, 13 Sep 2007 02:01:38 +0000 http://sepiamutiny.com?p=4716#comment-165535 <p>p.s. please don't bring khazaria into this. the only evidence for khazars is one particular levite lineage.</p> p.s. please don’t bring khazaria into this. the only evidence for khazars is one particular levite lineage.

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By: razib_the_atheist http://sepiamutiny.com/blog/2007/09/11/the_costs_of_lo_1/comment-page-2/#comment-165534 razib_the_atheist Thu, 13 Sep 2007 01:59:52 +0000 http://sepiamutiny.com?p=4716#comment-165534 <p><i>First of all, Razib, how can you say that Jew's from Russia are 'more similar' to German Jews, then for example Gujuratis to Malayalees. You are basing your conclusion on the idea of the existence of a cohesive tribe called 'ashkenazi.' If you are basing on ethnicity, I would the Jews are probably no more related than the indians. Lets say 1000 years ago 'ashkenazi' jews went to both Russia and Germany, then 25 years a generation makes 40 generations. Taking a conservative outbreeding estimate of 10% per generation, and guessing that 50% of their offspring identify as Jews. After 1 generation the average would be about 97.4% Jewish. Obviously the non-Jewish genes at this point would be confined to children of the 1/2 Jews. After 20 generations the average Jew would be 57.5% Jewish. After 1000 years, or 40 generations, the average Jew would be around 33% Jewish. Essentially a Russian Jew would be more Russian, while a German Jew would be more Jewish.</i></p> <p>roger, there's genetic data on this. to make it short: <b>you're wrong</b>. ashkenazi jews are genetically cohesive. the outmarriage into the group was on the order of 1% per generation according to genetic data. if you are curious about the jewish literature, <a href="http://www.gnxp.com/MT2/archives/001719.html">go here</a>. you also don't know the history of jews as it is naive to talk about 'russian jews 1,000 years ago.' jews showed up in poland around the 14th century, and that is the community that exploded in population after 1600 and spread <b>both</b> east and west. so 'how can i say'? <b>because i know stuff</b>. as for indian genetic similarity, it is on the order of europeans. that is, the typical gujarati related to a malayalee is like a swede related to a frenchmen. that is not a distant relationship, europeans exhibit some natural genetic cohesiveness, but it isn't like ashkenazis. to make the math simple for you ashkenazi lineages tend to coalescene on the order of 1,000 years or less. south asian lineages on the order of 10,000 years or less.</p> First of all, Razib, how can you say that Jew’s from Russia are ‘more similar’ to German Jews, then for example Gujuratis to Malayalees. You are basing your conclusion on the idea of the existence of a cohesive tribe called ‘ashkenazi.’ If you are basing on ethnicity, I would the Jews are probably no more related than the indians. Lets say 1000 years ago ‘ashkenazi’ jews went to both Russia and Germany, then 25 years a generation makes 40 generations. Taking a conservative outbreeding estimate of 10% per generation, and guessing that 50% of their offspring identify as Jews. After 1 generation the average would be about 97.4% Jewish. Obviously the non-Jewish genes at this point would be confined to children of the 1/2 Jews. After 20 generations the average Jew would be 57.5% Jewish. After 1000 years, or 40 generations, the average Jew would be around 33% Jewish. Essentially a Russian Jew would be more Russian, while a German Jew would be more Jewish.

roger, there’s genetic data on this. to make it short: you’re wrong. ashkenazi jews are genetically cohesive. the outmarriage into the group was on the order of 1% per generation according to genetic data. if you are curious about the jewish literature, go here. you also don’t know the history of jews as it is naive to talk about ‘russian jews 1,000 years ago.’ jews showed up in poland around the 14th century, and that is the community that exploded in population after 1600 and spread both east and west. so ‘how can i say’? because i know stuff. as for indian genetic similarity, it is on the order of europeans. that is, the typical gujarati related to a malayalee is like a swede related to a frenchmen. that is not a distant relationship, europeans exhibit some natural genetic cohesiveness, but it isn’t like ashkenazis. to make the math simple for you ashkenazi lineages tend to coalescene on the order of 1,000 years or less. south asian lineages on the order of 10,000 years or less.

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By: Roger Federer http://sepiamutiny.com/blog/2007/09/11/the_costs_of_lo_1/comment-page-2/#comment-165528 Roger Federer Thu, 13 Sep 2007 01:49:38 +0000 http://sepiamutiny.com?p=4716#comment-165528 <p>Look at it like this. Most policy issue matter only a little to each person. For example, I may oppose farm subsidies, but I wouldn't change my vote just because someone supports them....there are other bigger issues for me....perhaps for the average American an issue like Iraq is a big issue that could sway their vote. So a smart candidate would be against the Iraq war, and on the fence for subsidies. However there is a small group of farmers with a bit of money and influence, and they really really care about the subsidies, while there is no similar group opposing them. They could tip the balance so that the candidates that support them would get their votes and cash. This leads to the interesting phenomenon that on all small issues all candidates will be 'pro.' Lets count Israel-Palestine as such a small issue. There are a small number of vehement Muslims on one side strongly anti-Israel, and on the other side a slightly larger number of Jews who are strongly pro-Israel. With the added advantages of wealth and stability, the pro-Israeli side would win as the vast majority of people could go either way . On a bigger issue like abortion, which almost everybody seems to care about, candidates will choose sides. Interestingly in a mature democracy like the US it seems to be that most of these big issues turn out to be nearly 50-50. I would argue this is not a coincidence, but a result of the issues of large importance naturally becoming the issue in which the population is split ~ 50-50 either way on. This results in nearly 50-50 elections and a nearly 50-50 split in the legislature.</p> Look at it like this. Most policy issue matter only a little to each person. For example, I may oppose farm subsidies, but I wouldn’t change my vote just because someone supports them….there are other bigger issues for me….perhaps for the average American an issue like Iraq is a big issue that could sway their vote. So a smart candidate would be against the Iraq war, and on the fence for subsidies. However there is a small group of farmers with a bit of money and influence, and they really really care about the subsidies, while there is no similar group opposing them. They could tip the balance so that the candidates that support them would get their votes and cash. This leads to the interesting phenomenon that on all small issues all candidates will be ‘pro.’ Lets count Israel-Palestine as such a small issue. There are a small number of vehement Muslims on one side strongly anti-Israel, and on the other side a slightly larger number of Jews who are strongly pro-Israel. With the added advantages of wealth and stability, the pro-Israeli side would win as the vast majority of people could go either way . On a bigger issue like abortion, which almost everybody seems to care about, candidates will choose sides. Interestingly in a mature democracy like the US it seems to be that most of these big issues turn out to be nearly 50-50. I would argue this is not a coincidence, but a result of the issues of large importance naturally becoming the issue in which the population is split ~ 50-50 either way on. This results in nearly 50-50 elections and a nearly 50-50 split in the legislature.

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By: Roger Federer http://sepiamutiny.com/blog/2007/09/11/the_costs_of_lo_1/comment-page-2/#comment-165518 Roger Federer Thu, 13 Sep 2007 01:36:50 +0000 http://sepiamutiny.com?p=4716#comment-165518 <p>whoops i meant a German Jew would be more German</p> whoops i meant a German Jew would be more German

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