Comments on: What the data might reveal http://sepiamutiny.com/blog/2005/10/18/what_the_data_m_1/ All that flavorful brownness in one savory packet Sat, 30 Nov 2013 11:11:28 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.2.1 By: James Boigling http://sepiamutiny.com/blog/2005/10/18/what_the_data_m_1/comment-page-1/#comment-31057 James Boigling Fri, 21 Oct 2005 14:14:01 +0000 http://sepiamutiny.com?p=2382#comment-31057 <p>TSUNAMIS' AFTERMATH / Warning signals, but no warnings : Early data on Asian quake went unnoticed in Vienna</p> <p>But the data streaming into the computers of the Comprehensive Nuclear Test-Ban Treaty Organization served no purpose Sunday.</p> <p>The 300 staff are on vacation until Jan. 4. The organization itself is still nothing more than a nascent group of seismic experts and bureaucrats who await signature or ratification on the test ban treaty from 11 more countries before they can officially act.</p> <p>http://www.iht.com/bin/print_ipub.php?file=/articles/2004/12/29/nuke_ed3__5.php</p> <p>The CTBTO Preparatory Commission: Nine Years of Blatant Fraud</p> <p>‘The PTS and the Tsunami Tragedy‘</p> <p>CTBTO commits mass murder: Warning system could have spared tsunami victims</p> <p>http://www.envirosagainstwar.org/know/read.php?itemid=3205</p> <p>[CTBTO] A new $30 million UN early tsunami-warning system? They already have one!</p> <p>http://www.canadafreepress.com/2005/cover012405.htm</p> <p>[CTBTO] Nobody home at international arms control organization</p> <p>http://www.canadafreepress.com/2005/cover010605.htm</p> <p>[CTBTO] Tsunami warnings, UN style</p> <p>http://www.canadafreepress.com/2005/cover081305.htm</p> <p>A-bomb system can warn of tsunami</p> <p>Jeffrey Hanson and Roger Bowman from the Science Applications International Corporation (Saic) in San Diego have now analysed the signals coming from the hydroacoustic detectors, or hydrophones.</p> <p>http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/sci/tech/4330286.stm</p> <p>India seeks to keep Pak out to Global seismographic network</p> <p>The Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty (CTBT) to which India is not a signatory depends on the IRIS data to determine the nuclear detonations and hence Ramamurthy's daunting task would be to see how India can be part of IRIS without signing the treaty.</p> <p>http://www.indiadaily.com/breaking_news/48274.asp</p> <p>www.wmo.int</p> TSUNAMIS’ AFTERMATH / Warning signals, but no warnings : Early data on Asian quake went unnoticed in Vienna

But the data streaming into the computers of the Comprehensive Nuclear Test-Ban Treaty Organization served no purpose Sunday.

The 300 staff are on vacation until Jan. 4. The organization itself is still nothing more than a nascent group of seismic experts and bureaucrats who await signature or ratification on the test ban treaty from 11 more countries before they can officially act.

http://www.iht.com/bin/print_ipub.php?file=/articles/2004/12/29/nuke_ed3__5.php

The CTBTO Preparatory Commission: Nine Years of Blatant Fraud

‘The PTS and the Tsunami Tragedy‘

CTBTO commits mass murder: Warning system could have spared tsunami victims

http://www.envirosagainstwar.org/know/read.php?itemid=3205

[CTBTO] A new $30 million UN early tsunami-warning system? They already have one!

http://www.canadafreepress.com/2005/cover012405.htm

[CTBTO] Nobody home at international arms control organization

http://www.canadafreepress.com/2005/cover010605.htm

[CTBTO] Tsunami warnings, UN style

http://www.canadafreepress.com/2005/cover081305.htm

A-bomb system can warn of tsunami

Jeffrey Hanson and Roger Bowman from the Science Applications International Corporation (Saic) in San Diego have now analysed the signals coming from the hydroacoustic detectors, or hydrophones.

http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/sci/tech/4330286.stm

India seeks to keep Pak out to Global seismographic network

The Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty (CTBT) to which India is not a signatory depends on the IRIS data to determine the nuclear detonations and hence Ramamurthy’s daunting task would be to see how India can be part of IRIS without signing the treaty.

http://www.indiadaily.com/breaking_news/48274.asp

http://www.wmo.int

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By: Guru Gulab Khatri http://sepiamutiny.com/blog/2005/10/18/what_the_data_m_1/comment-page-1/#comment-30799 Guru Gulab Khatri Wed, 19 Oct 2005 20:20:11 +0000 http://sepiamutiny.com?p=2382#comment-30799 <p>Nationalism is a good reason to protect any potential covert or overt nuclear tests that may create siesmic ripples.<br /> BTW no one to my knowledge predicted the parkfield that happened in late september this year. San Andreas fault would be a siesmologists wet dream in terms of sensors.</p> <p>Regarding the rant on the inhabitants of centalized AC homes in US not knowing of caring about india. That idea is what is outtdated. Its similar to gaddar indian leaving india and causing brain drain kind of idea that was in vouge during Indira Gandhi era. FYI i dont have an AC in my home in US.<br /> I am a penny pincher and a passive environmentalist.</p> Nationalism is a good reason to protect any potential covert or overt nuclear tests that may create siesmic ripples.
BTW no one to my knowledge predicted the parkfield that happened in late september this year. San Andreas fault would be a siesmologists wet dream in terms of sensors.

Regarding the rant on the inhabitants of centalized AC homes in US not knowing of caring about india. That idea is what is outtdated. Its similar to gaddar indian leaving india and causing brain drain kind of idea that was in vouge during Indira Gandhi era. FYI i dont have an AC in my home in US.
I am a penny pincher and a passive environmentalist.

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By: krish http://sepiamutiny.com/blog/2005/10/18/what_the_data_m_1/comment-page-1/#comment-30748 krish Wed, 19 Oct 2005 10:20:24 +0000 http://sepiamutiny.com?p=2382#comment-30748 <p>This data sharing stuff is a scam in this context, given that to the best of my knowledge, <em>no one</em> can predict the occurence of an earthquake with any accuracy as to its timing or intensity. So I don't see how the CSM article's basic premise is even valid. Additionally, the US does control data access while expecting other countries to release data, so there is not much reciprocity in this regard.</p> <p>Furthermore, it is interesting to see the kind of press that India has been getting in the handling of the earthquake's aftermath, and the corresponding lack of criticism of Pakistan's treatment of the victims.</p> This data sharing stuff is a scam in this context, given that to the best of my knowledge, no one can predict the occurence of an earthquake with any accuracy as to its timing or intensity. So I don’t see how the CSM article’s basic premise is even valid. Additionally, the US does control data access while expecting other countries to release data, so there is not much reciprocity in this regard.

Furthermore, it is interesting to see the kind of press that India has been getting in the handling of the earthquake’s aftermath, and the corresponding lack of criticism of Pakistan’s treatment of the victims.

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By: Kush Tandon http://sepiamutiny.com/blog/2005/10/18/what_the_data_m_1/comment-page-1/#comment-30710 Kush Tandon Wed, 19 Oct 2005 04:08:18 +0000 http://sepiamutiny.com?p=2382#comment-30710 <p>Guys, please check <a href="http://www.scec.org/research/">SCEC (Southern California Earthquake Center</a>) webpage - they have lot of write up on things, you would like to know - far better researched and written, than I can on short order.</p> <p>Make up your mind from your air-conditioned homes in US of A, that you want millions of Indian (fellow desi) be put in harms way because of some outdated notions of security and pan-nationalism. India will never be USA or Japan in terms of earthquake mitigation but not even thinking fresh in event of a tragedy <b>is a high crime</b>.</p> <p>A seismometer has nothing to do with a nuclear testing or defense things like that - it is just it is clock sitting next to your test site recording all your disturbances.</p> Guys, please check SCEC (Southern California Earthquake Center) webpage – they have lot of write up on things, you would like to know – far better researched and written, than I can on short order.

Make up your mind from your air-conditioned homes in US of A, that you want millions of Indian (fellow desi) be put in harms way because of some outdated notions of security and pan-nationalism. India will never be USA or Japan in terms of earthquake mitigation but not even thinking fresh in event of a tragedy is a high crime.

A seismometer has nothing to do with a nuclear testing or defense things like that – it is just it is clock sitting next to your test site recording all your disturbances.

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By: Kush Tandon http://sepiamutiny.com/blog/2005/10/18/what_the_data_m_1/comment-page-1/#comment-30705 Kush Tandon Wed, 19 Oct 2005 03:22:57 +0000 http://sepiamutiny.com?p=2382#comment-30705 <p>Again, for the last time.</p> <p>The problem with not sharing data is threefold:</p> <p>Reason I: You cannot make any decisions in real time accurately. Sure, USGS website puts up the magnitude of an earthquake within 5-10 minutes of the event and Harvard within 20-30 minutes, a fairly accurate magnitude and location. India and Pakistan are outside the loop, other than they can access the data through website like you and me or anyone else. V.IMP: The accuracy of detection depends on the proximity of seismometers near the earthquake events. Examples, Southern California and Japan - the denser the network talking to each other the better.</p> <p>Isolated seismometers run by India and Pakistan are practically useless, other than publishing papers 3 years later in a journal. They have no "societal, real time value".</p> <p>Yes, there are dense array of seismometers all over the world on every continent and ocean bottoms (you name the place, they are there), and they share the data in real time through IRIS (Incorporated Research Institutions for Seismology). That is why the security mindset of India and Pakistan is tad quiant.</p> <p>Reson II: The second one is very serious omission. India and Pakistan can never think of making an advance warning system for tsunami and earthquake unless they share the data in real time for triangulation. Say, you live in Delhi, and there is an earthquake in Kathmandu, to have red-lights flashing up in lifeline buildings within less than a minute, you need very tightly triangulated and meshed on a local and regional basis. The same holds for tsunami warning. Even Mexico City has one similar because of devasting earthquake in early nineties.</p> <p>You cannot do detailed local seismic analysis in real time required for first responders without sharing data. It cannot be done in isolation.</p> <p>Reason III: You can never even make realistic building codes, unless you have rigorous shake maps and strong motion data (sorry for jargons, please google). All this needs that one is cooperating and tied to real world in real time.</p> <p>A seismograph is like a clock recording distrubance which needs to be calibrated to other clocks. My wristwatch on its own is practically useless if I do not constantly check time with others in the world and duly make time corrections (Day time savings, etc).</p> <p>I am done. Also, if you include earthquakes from 1947 onwards, it will be more 100,000 deaths (1993 Latur earthquake was 22,000).</p> <p>It is not only eartthquakes or tsunami - the AIDS data is hardly shared by India and Pakistan (Please correct me if that has changed).</p> Again, for the last time.

The problem with not sharing data is threefold:

Reason I: You cannot make any decisions in real time accurately. Sure, USGS website puts up the magnitude of an earthquake within 5-10 minutes of the event and Harvard within 20-30 minutes, a fairly accurate magnitude and location. India and Pakistan are outside the loop, other than they can access the data through website like you and me or anyone else. V.IMP: The accuracy of detection depends on the proximity of seismometers near the earthquake events. Examples, Southern California and Japan – the denser the network talking to each other the better.

Isolated seismometers run by India and Pakistan are practically useless, other than publishing papers 3 years later in a journal. They have no “societal, real time value”.

Yes, there are dense array of seismometers all over the world on every continent and ocean bottoms (you name the place, they are there), and they share the data in real time through IRIS (Incorporated Research Institutions for Seismology). That is why the security mindset of India and Pakistan is tad quiant.

Reson II: The second one is very serious omission. India and Pakistan can never think of making an advance warning system for tsunami and earthquake unless they share the data in real time for triangulation. Say, you live in Delhi, and there is an earthquake in Kathmandu, to have red-lights flashing up in lifeline buildings within less than a minute, you need very tightly triangulated and meshed on a local and regional basis. The same holds for tsunami warning. Even Mexico City has one similar because of devasting earthquake in early nineties.

You cannot do detailed local seismic analysis in real time required for first responders without sharing data. It cannot be done in isolation.

Reason III: You can never even make realistic building codes, unless you have rigorous shake maps and strong motion data (sorry for jargons, please google). All this needs that one is cooperating and tied to real world in real time.

A seismograph is like a clock recording distrubance which needs to be calibrated to other clocks. My wristwatch on its own is practically useless if I do not constantly check time with others in the world and duly make time corrections (Day time savings, etc).

I am done. Also, if you include earthquakes from 1947 onwards, it will be more 100,000 deaths (1993 Latur earthquake was 22,000).

It is not only eartthquakes or tsunami – the AIDS data is hardly shared by India and Pakistan (Please correct me if that has changed).

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By: Guru Gulab Khatri http://sepiamutiny.com/blog/2005/10/18/what_the_data_m_1/comment-page-1/#comment-30698 Guru Gulab Khatri Wed, 19 Oct 2005 03:02:20 +0000 http://sepiamutiny.com?p=2382#comment-30698 <blockquote>The human loss by wars between India and Pakistan (please do not include Bangladesh casualities) do not even come close.</blockquote> <p>Well officialy there wasnt a declaration of the war in many acts of violence between the 2 countries. I'd consider partition and the prepartition riots as a quasi civil war atleast.</p> The human loss by wars between India and Pakistan (please do not include Bangladesh casualities) do not even come close.

Well officialy there wasnt a declaration of the war in many acts of violence between the 2 countries. I’d consider partition and the prepartition riots as a quasi civil war atleast.

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By: Guru Gulab Khatri http://sepiamutiny.com/blog/2005/10/18/what_the_data_m_1/comment-page-1/#comment-30695 Guru Gulab Khatri Wed, 19 Oct 2005 02:51:47 +0000 http://sepiamutiny.com?p=2382#comment-30695 <p>Well I am not sure on the technical validity of the article... Is the computation done on data streams coming from multiple sources on an IP encapsulated data? Then the delay of seconds is to be expected from time to time unless they (who ever is monitoring all the data) want to setup dedicated circuits. As Arzan points out this article most likely has other motives. now if it concerns them that much they are free to setup to setup sensors in xinkiang tibet aksai chin afghanistan tajikistan and do what ever they feel like with the data. It is upto the indians to determine when and what data they should share with any one.</p> Well I am not sure on the technical validity of the article… Is the computation done on data streams coming from multiple sources on an IP encapsulated data? Then the delay of seconds is to be expected from time to time unless they (who ever is monitoring all the data) want to setup dedicated circuits. As Arzan points out this article most likely has other motives. now if it concerns them that much they are free to setup to setup sensors in xinkiang tibet aksai chin afghanistan tajikistan and do what ever they feel like with the data. It is upto the indians to determine when and what data they should share with any one.

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By: arZan http://sepiamutiny.com/blog/2005/10/18/what_the_data_m_1/comment-page-1/#comment-30669 arZan Tue, 18 Oct 2005 22:58:37 +0000 http://sepiamutiny.com?p=2382#comment-30669 <p>I think this article also has another angle to it. The whole issue could be used for ulterior motives by the US when November comes and it is time for Congress to vote on the nuclear technology pact that India and US agreed upon.</p> <p>Yes, data should be shared....but that is in an ideal world. India definitely has reservations when it comes to putting sensitive data in the public domain. But then with a terrorist-supporting dictatorship on the west and communist despots in the north, what do you expect.</p> I think this article also has another angle to it. The whole issue could be used for ulterior motives by the US when November comes and it is time for Congress to vote on the nuclear technology pact that India and US agreed upon.

Yes, data should be shared….but that is in an ideal world. India definitely has reservations when it comes to putting sensitive data in the public domain. But then with a terrorist-supporting dictatorship on the west and communist despots in the north, what do you expect.

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By: Kush Tandon http://sepiamutiny.com/blog/2005/10/18/what_the_data_m_1/comment-page-1/#comment-30667 Kush Tandon Tue, 18 Oct 2005 22:56:59 +0000 http://sepiamutiny.com?p=2382#comment-30667 <p>MoorNam,</p> <p>I understand your concern and have empathy for. I do agree that India and Pakistan are special case. Since I actively work with Indians in India (I myself carry an Indian passport).</p> <p>Hopefully, I'll be working with Pakistani soon, I have no intention to berate and belittle any of them in public.</p> <p>The data sharing in seismology will be through a third party, the worldwide repository, like IRIS with universal safegaurds and rules that apply to others. IRIS has nothing to do with CTBT. They are independent of each other. Same for tsunami monitoring and medicine - all other fields.</p> <p>Opening up of data has some real hope in India - because Indian scientists in India do want it but it is the matter of "what battles are worth fighting for, and why put your neck out".</p> <p>We have enough "whys" nows.</p> <p>Are you happy with "status quo"?</p> MoorNam,

I understand your concern and have empathy for. I do agree that India and Pakistan are special case. Since I actively work with Indians in India (I myself carry an Indian passport).

Hopefully, I’ll be working with Pakistani soon, I have no intention to berate and belittle any of them in public.

The data sharing in seismology will be through a third party, the worldwide repository, like IRIS with universal safegaurds and rules that apply to others. IRIS has nothing to do with CTBT. They are independent of each other. Same for tsunami monitoring and medicine – all other fields.

Opening up of data has some real hope in India – because Indian scientists in India do want it but it is the matter of “what battles are worth fighting for, and why put your neck out”.

We have enough “whys” nows.

Are you happy with “status quo”?

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By: MoorNam http://sepiamutiny.com/blog/2005/10/18/what_the_data_m_1/comment-page-1/#comment-30663 MoorNam Tue, 18 Oct 2005 22:37:31 +0000 http://sepiamutiny.com?p=2382#comment-30663 <p>Kush,</p> <p>I'm not giving you a tough time - I admire people like yourself who go out of their way to do something good, unlike the rest of us who just talk.</p> <blockquote> <blockquote> <p>Real time sharing will be the way rest of the world does - <u>part honor system</u>, part monitoring, and data is given to worldwide respositories. They already exists (IRIS), <u>and every country <b>except </b>India and Pakistan uses them </u></p> </blockquote> </blockquote> <p>Agreed. But isn't Indo-Pak a unique case?</p> <p>Name two countries in the world that have fought three wars, one major skirmish and still trust one another.</p> <p>Name two border countries in the world where one is a democracy and the other is a military/islamist dictatorship and share seismic data.</p> <p>Name two countries in the world where one has continued bred terrorists to bleed the other by a thousand cuts - and share still sensitive information.</p> <p>Name two countries in the world where one openly taunts the other in world forums and calls for the democratic country's breakup.</p> <p>One must look at every situation in the whole context. You may convince Pakistan since it is a dictatorship. But no political party in India will incur the opposition and voters' wrath when it comes to sharing information with a country that comes as close to the textbook definition of an enemy as it gets.</p> <p>M. Nam</p> Kush,

I’m not giving you a tough time – I admire people like yourself who go out of their way to do something good, unlike the rest of us who just talk.

Real time sharing will be the way rest of the world does – part honor system, part monitoring, and data is given to worldwide respositories. They already exists (IRIS), and every country except India and Pakistan uses them

Agreed. But isn’t Indo-Pak a unique case?

Name two countries in the world that have fought three wars, one major skirmish and still trust one another.

Name two border countries in the world where one is a democracy and the other is a military/islamist dictatorship and share seismic data.

Name two countries in the world where one has continued bred terrorists to bleed the other by a thousand cuts – and share still sensitive information.

Name two countries in the world where one openly taunts the other in world forums and calls for the democratic country’s breakup.

One must look at every situation in the whole context. You may convince Pakistan since it is a dictatorship. But no political party in India will incur the opposition and voters’ wrath when it comes to sharing information with a country that comes as close to the textbook definition of an enemy as it gets.

M. Nam

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